Modeling and Mitigation of Social Disasters Caused by Catastrophes and Terrorism

Programmee:International Collaboration
Code:NUKR.SFPP 984877
Execution period:2015 – 2017
Institutions:Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, Institute of Computer Science (Iasi Subsidiary of the Romanian Academy), Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine "Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"
Project Leader:Cojocaru Svetlana
Participants: Titchiev Inga, Petic Mircea, Horosh Grigorii, Iliuha Nicolai, Albu Veaceslav, Iamandi Veronica


The project is aimed at creating a set of tools, methods, models, and algorithms that allow detecting, monitoring, modeling, mitigating social disasters caused by terrorism and catastrophes of different nature (natural, technogenic, etc.).

Another objective of the project is developing the methodology for scenario analysis regarding the field of social disasters.

The goal of the project is to apply modified qualitative methods of the foresight methodology (Delphi method, morphological analysis method, analytical hierarchy method) to develop models suitable for description of the social disasters. These models will then be used to construct scenarios for the social disaster, allowing to assess the mitigation methods and provide decision-making support regarding the best actions to reduce the negative consequences of a social disaster in the context of sustainable development.