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IMI/Publicaţii/CSJM/Ediţii/CSJM v.12, n.2 (35), 2004/

On Estimating Long Range Dependence of Network Delay

Authors: Michael S. Borella
Keywords: Traffic model, Internet, time scales, periodogram.

Abstract

We analyse 12 traces of round-trip Internet packet delay. We find that these traces, when viewed as time series data, often exhibit Hurst parameter estimates greater than 0.5, indicating long-range dependence. Several traces, however, are not well modelled with a constant . We discuss in detail our analytical methods and the robustness of empirical estimators of under conditions of non-negligible packet loss. We also apply a newly-developed wavelet estimator of and find that (1) it explains why periodogram-based estimators can produce inconclusive results, and (2) it produces results that can be used to estimate short range as well as long range dependence. Our overall results indicate that Internet delay is bursty across multiple time scales, which implies that end-user quality of service in the Internet is likely to be impacted by long periods of very large and/or highly variable delays.

Michael S. Borella
CommWorks, A 3Com Company, 3800 Golf Rd.,
Rolling Meadows IL 60008, USA
Tel: (847) 262-3083, Fax: (847) 262-2255
E-mail:

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